Gnostic C14
Radiocarbon Dating the Gnostics after Nicaea
| Web Publication by Mountain Man Graphics, Australia
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"Everything which has come down to us
from heathendom is wrapped in a thick fog;
it belongs to a space of time we cannot measure.
We know that it is older than Christendom, but
whether by a couple of years
or a couple of centuries,
or even by more than a millenium,
we can do no more than guess."
[Rasmus Nyerup, (Danish antiquarian), 1802 CE
(in Trigger, 1989:71) - from www.C14dating.com]
Radiocarbon Dating the Gnostics Gospels after Nicaea |
Introduction & Abstract............................. 0. What do the C14 results say about Gnostic Codex manufacture in antiquity? Sources................................... 1. Summary of Source Manuscripts: Nag Hammadi Codices and Qarara Codices 2. Gospel of Judas: A collation of Introductory resources 3. English Translations of the Gospel of Judas: National Geographic, with selected quotations. Radiocarbon Age Estimation ................................... 4. Radiocarbon Age Estimation: Introduction 5. Radiocarbon Age Estimation for the Gospel of Judas: Arizona University (2006) = 280 CE (+/- 60 years) Radiocarbon Age Estimation as Graphs ................................... 6. Radiocarbon Age and Normal Distributions: Some resources 7. Graphical Distribution for the Gospel of Judas - uncalibrated (tested) C14 age of 280 CE plus or minus 60 years 8. Graphical Distribution for the Gospel of Thomas - uncalibrated (hypothetical) C14 age of 348 CE plus or minus 60 years Probabilistic Odds that Both Codices are Post Nicaean ......................... 9. Using the approach of Combinatorial Probability: Radiocarbon Calibration Process ................................... 10. Graphical C14 Result for Gospel of Judas with Calibration - Oxcal Version 3.10 11. Graphical C14 Result for Gospel of Thomas with Calibration - Oxcal Version 3.10 Analysis of Composite Graphs ................................... 20. Graphical Distribution for Gnostic Codex Manufacture in Antiquity - Uncalibrated 21. Calibrating the "Gnostic Attractor" at 314 CE - When were the Gnostics actively manufacturing codices? Remnant Conundrums ................................... 42. Did National Geographic run with the Uncalibrated C14 results? - 280 CE (+/- 60 years) is uncalibrated. 43. Was the Gospel of Judas manufactured "clearly before Nicaea" (325 CE) as claimed by the UA Press Release? 99. Acknowledgements Thanks to Contributors.[Index]
Introduction and Abstract |
What do the C14 results say about Gnostic Codex manufacture in antiquity?
The surprising result of this review article is that, contrary to the published opinions expressed by National Geographic and the UA Press Releases, the Gnostic Gospel of Judas was not necessarily manufactured before the Council of Nicaea (325 CE), but it is just as likley to have been published after this event. By considering the two (one real and one theoretical) C14 results (uncalibrated) as the first two tips of an as yet unrevealed iceburg of C14 results (for manuscripts containing "Gnostic Gospels"), a composite graph is presented with a median value of 314 CE and an error bound of plus or minus 42 years, clearly very close to the Council of Nicaea. Furthermore, the effect of radiocarbon calibration moves this date forward substantially into the later 4th century. It is postulated that a "Gnostic Attractor" will slowly become defined by future C14 results on these types of manuscripts, and will be centered over an epoch that commences very shortly after, and not before, the Council of Nicaea.
The manufacture of codices containing "Gnostic Gospels" in antiquity may thus be, perhaps unexpectedly, a post Nicaean phenomenom. An appropriate time period in years still needs to be established between the time the papyrus was harvested, and when it was finally used by the scribe. It is therefore suggested that the "Gnostic Gospels and Acts, etc" were a post Nicaean literary reaction to the NT Canon published by Constantine c.324/325 CE.
Until the final report becomes available, and considering what appear to be serious problems associated with the publication of the technical details for this C14 test, it is difficult to understand precisely what the scientific test results were, or even if the results published by various National Geographic sources were the calibrated results. I have no doubt that the scientists know the difference, the question is whether National Geographic did.
Source Manuscripts |
According to the account of the discovery of the codex reported by its early owners, the codex containing the Gospel of Judas was discovered during an illegal ‘excavation’ of a tomb near Jebel Qarara, 60 km north of Al Minya on the right bank of the Nile in Middle Egypt (or 8 km south of Oxyrhynchus).6 This codex was apparently not alone, but was found in a limestone box with three other codices.7 The four codices were: a fourth- or fifth-century papyrus codex containing the book of Exodus in Greek; a papyrus codex containing Coptic gnostic material (Codex Tchacos which includes the Gospel of Judas); a fourth- or fifthcentury papyrus codex containing the letters of Paul in Coptic; and a portion of a mathematical treatise in Greek: Metrodological Tractate. Neither the collection as a whole nor the individual manuscripts have survived intact, indeed several have been deliberately split into portions by dealers anxious for a sale.
The sad demise of the other three Qarara Codices is mirrored and perhaps magnified in the fourth codex of the limestone box, that which contains the Gospel of Judas and has become known as Codex Tchacos (after and by the current owner, Frieda Tchacos Nussberger). To this we now turn.
The Gospel of Judas in Coptic is the third of four texts in this papyrus codex of 33 leaves or 66 pages altogether [c. 29 x 16 cm] (pagination is included in many of the pages, although lacking because of damage from some pages). The four texts contained in this codex are as follows (with the pages given):
pp. 1-9: Letter of Peter to Philip [This text is already known from Nag Hammadi Codex (NH) VIII.2, although the title is given slightly differently in each place.]19
pp. 10-32: Revelation of James [This text is also already known from NH V.3.]20
pp. 33-58: Gospel of Judas (pp. ?G – ??: mostly extant except for pages 50-53 [p. 54 & p. 57 partially extant])
pp. 59-66: Book of Allogenes [This part is reported to be seriously damaged; the text is not previously known (different from Allogenes in NH XI.3)]
[20] Entitled The First Apocalypse of James (NHLE: 242-48) in order to distinguish it from The Second Apocalypse of James (NH V.4; NHLE: 249-55) although both originally had the same original title, simply ‘The Apocalypse of James’. The revelation of which the title speaks takes place through a dialogue between Jesus and James the brother of the Lord (although the opening speech of Jesus qualifies this relationship: ‘It is the Lord who spoke with me: “See now the completion of my redemption. I have given you a sign of these things, James, my brother. For not without reason have I called you my brother, although you are not my brother materially.’ (NH V.24.10-17; NHLE: 242).
The Gospel of Judas |
Some Quotes from the Gospel of Judas |
"Master, take me in along with these people."
Jesus answered and said,
"Your star has led you astray, Judas."
"For there exists a great and boundless aeon,
whose extent no generation of angels could see,
in which is the great invisible Spirit,
which no eye of an angel has ever seen,
no thought of the heart has ever comprehended,
and it was never called by any name."
"Let twelve angels come into being to rule over chaos and the underworld."
And look, from the cloud there appeared an angel whose face flashed with fire
and whose appearance was defiled with blood. His name was Nebro,
which means in translation 'rebel'; others call him Yaldabaoth."
"But God caused knowledge to be given to Adam and those with him,
so that the kings of chaos and the underworld might not lord it over them." [--Jesus]"
"...Then they will fornicate in my name
and slay their children [...] in my name,
and your star will rule over the thirteenth aeon."
And after that Jesus laughed.
Judas said, "Master, why are you laughing at us?"
Jesus answered and said,
"I am not laughing at you but at the error of the stars,
because these six stars wander about with these five combatants,
and they all will be destroyed along with their creatures."
"But you will exceed all of them.
For you will sacrifice the man who bears me.
Already your horn has been raised, and your wrath has been kindled,
and your star has passed by, and your heart has become strong." [--Jesus to Judas]"
"Look, you have been told everything.
Lift up your eyes and look at the cloud
and the light within it and the stars surrounding it.
And the star that leads the way is your star."
So Judas lifted up his eyes and saw the luminous cloud, and he entered it."
Radiocarbon Dating - An Introduction |
Basic Principles of Radiocarbon Dating - Arizona University
Radiocarbon Dating the Gospel of Judas |
University of Arizona Press Release March 30, 2006
Scientists at The University of Arizona's NSF-Arizona Accelerator Mass Spectrometry (AMS)
Laboratory radiocarbon dated these samples of an ancient Coptic manuscript at between
A.D. 220 and A.D. 340. The manuscript contains the only known surviving Gospel of Judas.
Left to right are a sample of leather binding that incorporates some of the papyrus
on which the manuscript was written; a sample of just the leather binding; a sample
of untreated papyrus; and a sample of papyrus after cleaning. (Photo: Lori Stiles)
THE GOSPEL OF JUDAS AND THE QARARA CODICES SOME PRELIMINARY OBSERVATIONS
Peter M. Head, Tyndale Bulletin 58.1 (2007) 1-23.
[44] Krosney, The Lost Gospel: 269-74. The analysis is attributed to Tim Jull, director
of the NSF-Arizona Accelerator Mass Spectrometer Facility in the University of
Arizona, Tucson.
[45] Krosney, The Lost Gospel: 274.
In the absence of a final scientific paper by the UA, this book by Krosney has been cited as an authority on the results of the C14 test conducted on the "Gospel of Judas". The publisher of this book was Natiional Geographic, and there are problems ...
Additional problems can be perceived highlighted in the above summary. A date of 1739 radiocarbon years is given as 279 CE for page 9 of the manuscript. A date of 1726 radiocarbon years is given as 279 CE for page 33 of the manuscript. These figures just do not add up. It is clear that the report of Peter Head (above) uses the two 279 CE figures, but why are the two radiocarbon age figures different in Krosney's summary? And what are the correct results? We should be able to simply look at the final scientific report, but it is a decade unpublished for peer review. What is happening here?
Normal Distributions & Radiocarbon Age |
Normal Distribution Graphs - davidmlane.com/hyperstat/z_table.html
Radiocarbon Dating The Shroud - A Critical Statistical Analysis. By Remi Van Haelst, Belgium ...
Graphical C14 (uncalibrated) Result for Gospel of Judas |
Graphical (theoretical) C14 (uncalibrated) Result for Gospel of Thomas |
Combinatorial Probability analysis |
Conjecturing the Four Possible Outcomes
Where J is the date of the Gospel of Judas and T the date of Thomas, then there are only 4 possible arrangments as follows ...
(1) Both J and T >= 325 (15%) (2) Both J and T < 325 (27%) (3) J < 325 and T >= 325 (50%) (4) T < 325 and J >= 325 (8%)If this analysis is true and complete, and no other outcomes are possible, then p(1) + p(2) + p(3) + p(4) should sum to one, and that:
P(both J and T >= 325) = 1 - [P(J < 325 and T>= 325) + P(T < 325 and J>= 325) + P(both J and T < 325)]
The computed results are shown above. Based on the given uncalibrated C14 results, the probability that both codices were manufactured after Nicaea is 15%.
We need to now look at the process of radiocarbon age "calibration".
[Index]
Graphical C14 Result for Gospel of Judas with Calibration |
One further step is usually conducted in the publication of C14 results, and that step is generally called the step of "Calibration". Consultative and collaborative analysis has determined the profile of the variation to the standard in the radiocarbon age expressed above, needs to be subjected itself to a radiocarbon calibration. Various calibration software is available for this purpose. The effect of "Radiocarbon calibration" is to project the known and established asymmetries of the C14 levels in the most recently published "Calibration Curve" against the standard distribution above.
The result is not a standard distribution, but nevertheless, some kind of probability density distribution. The following graph has been prepared using OxCal. The main features of the graph are:
As can be seen, the process of radiocarbon calibration changes the "radiocarbon age" of between 220 and 340 CE to the "calibrated age" of between 240 and 540 CE.
Graphical C14 Result for Gospel of Thomas with Calibration |
One further step is usually conducted in the publication of C14 results, and that step is generally called the step of "Calibration". Consultative and collaborative analysis has determined the profile of the variation to the standard in the radiocarbon age expressed above, needs to be subjected itself to a radiocarbon calibration. Various calibration software is available for this purpose. The effect of "Radiocarbon calibration" is to project the known and established asymmetries of the C14 levels in the most recently published "Calibration Curve" against the standard distribution above.
The result is not a standard distribution, but nevertheless, some kind of probability density distribution. The following graph has been prepared using OxCal. The main features of the graph are:
As can be seen, the process of radiocarbon calibration changes the "radiocarbon age" of between 288 and 408 CE to the "calibrated age" of between 330 and 600 CE.
Gnostic Codex Manufacture in Antiquity |
The dimensions of the individual uncalibrated normal distributions is probability density, while the dimensions of the derived overview distribition is a measure of probability.
Although the average of the uncalibrated results is 314 CE, as has been seen above, the subsequent step of radiocarbon calibration will have the effect of moving this date considerably forward in time. (See the next item),
The "Gnostic Attractor" at 314 CE |
As can be seen, the result of the radiocarbon calibration process changes the range to between 210 and 420 CE.
Are we dealing with the uncalibrated result for the "Gospel of Judas"? |
According to National Geographic:
The results allowed lab experts to confidently date the papyruses to between A.D. 220 and 340.
"The calibrated ages of the papyrus and leather samples are tightly clustered and place the age of the Codices within the third or fourth centuries A.D.," reported Tim Jull, director of Arizona's AMS facility, and research scientist Greg Hodgins.
In 2015, ten years after the C14 test, the final report has still not yet been published by the UA team. This lack of publication is most likely to do with confidentiality and publication agreements with National Geographic, which these scientists may have had to enter into as part of the entire publication process driven by National Geographic. However at the end of the day there appears to be a great many questions to this C14 test which can only be answered by the final scientific report, now a decade overdue.
One possibility is that, for one reason or another (and perhaps unconnected with scientific process), National Geographic has run with the uncalibrated figures.
Questionable Statement about the Council of Nicaea |
The US Press Release UA Radiocarbon Dates Help Verify Coptic Gospel of Judas is Genuine of March 30, 2006 states the following:
This last statement that the codex must be clearly dated before the council of Nicaea (325 CE) is very questionable on two counts.
As demonstrated above, after the calibration process, the estimated dating for the manufacture of Gnostic codices in antiquity suggests that what the above press release reports A. J. Tim Jull to have stated is inaccurate. The results suggest that Gnostic codices were manufactured during an epoch centered about an uncalibrated date of 314 CE, which when calibrated -- and increased by the number of years the papyrus sat on the shelf - yields equally validly a date well after Nicaea (325 CE).
Acknowledgements and Thanks |
REVISION April 2015
More recently I would like to thank Peter Kirby for two articles dated 8th March 2015 in which he critically and objectively addressed a previous revision of this page on C14 dating the Gnostics. His two articles are: gospel-of-judas-radiocarbon-age-results and nag-hammadi-carbon-dating-myth. In the former article Peter Kirby does an independent and objective reassessment of the situation with the all the available sources of the publication of the results of the UA C14 tests. In the latter article Peter Kirby complained about an overdue revision of this article on the basis that a real C14 test on the Gospel of Thomas (within the NHC 2) had never been published. This was true. There was an oversight. Peter Kirby reports on the details. As a result, this article has been adapted as a theoretical exercise - a thought experiment. A theoretical radiocarbon age date is allocated to the 348 CE date generally ascribed to date of the Nag Hammadi codices, in order to see what a comparison of two C14 tests might be able to reveal in terms of likelihoods and statistical probabilities related to the chronology of the manufacture of gnostic codices in antiquity.
There is no doubt that, Peter Kirby's blog has furthered a very slow discussion about the problems associated with various National Geographic publications related to the C14 dating of the Gospel of Judas. Readers interested in the latest breaking news should check gospel-of-judas-radiocarbon-age-results. One criticism of this article was that "It tends to assume (whether explicitly or not) something very close either to a conspiracy or incompetence on the part of the team". This criticism is valid only if qualified that the team being questioned here is the National Geographic Executive Team and their publications, who have misrepresented and/or suppressed and/or delayed the results of the scientific team for their own agenda. The turnaround time between the earlier C14 tests conducted on the Dead Sea Scrolls by Jull's UA team and the publication of the final report was not ten years. Despite his criticisms Peter Kirby has stated:
And so the story continues. The latest news according to Peter Kirby is a 2014 paper on “Carbon Dating and the Gospel of Judas” by Christian Askeland delivered before the SBL at San Diego. Peter Kirby further reports ...
See Radiometric Dating of the Gospel of Judas by Christian Askeland (10 March 2015) ...
So ten years later the National Geographic Society grants permission for the actual results to be made available. Isn't that encouraging? This article will be revised as necessary when further data becomes available.